Yeu to san nha: Tam quan trong cua san nha da giam hay tang sau dai dich?

Mo dau: San nha - Loi the truyen thong trong bong da

Trong lich su keo bong da, loi the san nha da luon la mot yeu to quan trong, tham chi quyet dinh trong nhieu tran dau. Cac doi bong thuong choi tot hon khi duoc thi dau truoc su co vu cua khan gia nha, tren san bai quen thuoc. Thong ke cho thay cac doi chu nha thuong thang khoang 40-50% so tran, trong khi cac doi khach chi thang 20-30%.



Tuy nhien, dai dich COVID-19 da thay doi hoan toan buc tranh do. Cac tran dau dien ra sau dai dich khong co khan gia hoac co so luong khan gia han che, lam day len cau hoi: lieu loi the san nha co con ton tai? Va neu co, no da tang hay giam so voi truoc day? Bai viet nay se phan tich sau ve yeu to san nha va tac dong cua dai dich den loi the nay.



Loi the san nha truyen thong

Cac yeu to tao nen loi the san nha

Truoc dai dich, loi the san nha duoc tao ra boi nhieu yeu to:



1. Su co vu cua khan gia:



Tao ap luc tam ly len doi thu.



Thuc day tinh than va su tu tin cho doi nha.



Ảnh huong den quyet dinh cua trong tai (cac nghien cuu cho thay trong tai thuong thien vi doi chu nha).



2. Su quen thuoc voi san bai:



Kich thuoc san, chat luong co, anh sang, do am, v.v.



Khong phai di chuyen xa, it met moi.



3. Cac yeu to khac:



Khi hau (dia phuong), su thay doi mui gio.



Su quen thuoc voi khan gia va moi truong.



Thong ke truoc dai dich

Trong 10-20 mua giai truoc dai dich, thong ke o cac giai dau hang dau chau Au cho thay:



Premier League: Doi chu nha thang khoang 45%, hoa 25%, thua 30%.



La Liga: Doi chu nha thang khoang 48%, hoa 25%, thua 27%.



Bundesliga: Doi chu nha thang khoang 43%, hoa 25%, thua 32%.



Serie A: Doi chu nha thang khoang 47%, hoa 25%, thua 28%.



Loi the san nha ro rang la co that va dang ke.



Tac dong cua dai dich den loi the san nha

Thoi ky khong khan gia (2020-2021)

Khi cac giai dau tro lai sau thoi gian gian doan vi dai dich, tat ca cac tran dau deu dien ra sau canh cua dong kin. Dieu nay tao ra mot thi nghiem tu nhien de danh gia loi the san nha:



Ket qua thong ke:



Ty le thang cua doi chu nha giam dang ke, tu khoang 45% xuong con 35-38%.



Ty le hoa va thua cua doi khach tang len.



So ban thang trung binh moi tran cung giam nhe.



Nguyen nhan:



Khong co khan gia: Mat di yeu to ap luc va co vu quan trong nhat.



Tam ly khac: Cac cau thu thi dau trong bau khong khi khac thuong, anh huong den su tap trung.



Su cong bang hon: Trong tai it bi anh huong boi ap luc tu khan dai.



Thoi ky khan gia han che (2021-2022)

Khi cac giai dau bat dau cho phep khan gia tro lai voi so luong han che, loi the san nha tu tu quay tro lai:



Ty le thang cua doi chu nha tang tro lai nhung van thap hon so voi thoi ky truoc dai dich.



Tac dong cua so luong khan gia: San van dong co dong khan gia hon thuong co loi the san nha lon hon.



Sau dai dich (2022-2023 tro di)

Khi cuoc song tro lai binh thuong va cac san van dong don khan gia day du, cau hoi dat ra: lieu loi the san nha co quay tro lai muc truoc dai dich?



Ket qua thong ke ban dau:



Loi the san nha da quay tro lai nhung co the da thay doi vinh vien.



Mot so giai dau ghi nhan muc thang cua doi chu nha thap hon nhe so voi truoc dai dich (khoang 41-43% so voi 45%).



Cac yeu to khac nhu the luc, chien thuat va su thich nghi cua cau thu cung dong vai tro quan trong.



So sanh loi the san nha truoc va sau dai dich

Du lieu tu cac giai dau hang dau

Giai dau Ty le thang san nha (truoc COVID) Ty le thang san nha (sau COVID)

Premier League 45% 42%

La Liga 48% 44%

Bundesliga 43% 40%

Serie A 47% 43%

Ligue 1 44% 41%

Nhan xet: Loi the san nha co su suy giam nhe nhung van ton tai.



Cac yeu to co the giai thich su suy giam

1. Su thich nghi cua cau thu:



Cac cau thu da quen voi viec thi dau khong co khan gia hoac co it khan gia trong thoi gian dai.



Ho da hoc cach tap trung tot hon trong moi truong khong co su co vu.



2. Chien thuat thay doi:



Cac huan luyen vien da dieu chinh chien thuat de giam thieu tac dong cua viec mat loi the san nha.



Cac doi khach tro nen tu tin hon khi tan cong.



3. Yeu to the luc va lich thi dau:



Lich thi dau day dac sau dai dich co the lam giam loi the cua doi chu nha (met moi).



Cac doi bong co chieu sau doi hinh tot hon co the khac phuc met moi.



4. Su thay doi trong thoi quen cua khan gia:



Khan gia co the it cuong nhiet hon sau thoi gian dai xa cach.



Mot so cau thu co the khong con cam nhan duoc ap luc tu khan dai nhu truoc.



Chien luoc ca cuoc sau dai dich

Dieu chinh danh gia yeu to san nha

Sau dai dich, nguoi choi can dieu chinh cach danh gia loi the san nha:



Giam trong so cua loi the san nha: Loi the san nha van quan trong nhung co the it hon truoc day khoang 10-15%.



Phan tich theo tung doi: Mot so doi bong co loi the san nha lon hon cac doi khac.



Xem xet so luong khan gia: Cac san van dong co dong khan gia co the co loi the lon hon.



Su dung du lieu moi

Hay su dung du lieu tu cac tran dau gan day (sau dai dich) de xay dung mo hinh du doan, thay vi chi dua vao du lieu lich su.



Phat hien cac bat thuong

Sau dai dich, co the co nhung bat thuong tren thi truong:



Nha cai co the dinh gia qua cao loi the san nha (dua tren du lieu cu).



Dieu nay tao ra co hoi cho keo khach trong mot so truong hop.



Ket hop voi cac yeu to khac

Dung chi dua vao loi the san nha. Ket hop voi:



Phong do gan day: Doi nao dang co phong do tot hon?



Doi hinh: Cau thu quan trong co thi dau khong?



Dong luc: Tran dau co y nghia nhu the nao voi moi doi?



Chien thuat: Huan luyen vien nao co loi the ve chien thuat?



Ket luan: San nha van quan trong, nhung da thay doi

Dai dich COVID-19 da tac dong dang ke den loi the san nha trong bong da. Su vang mat cua khan gia da lam giam loi the nay, va du da quay tro lai, loi the san nha co the da thay doi vinh vien.



Sau dai dich, loi the san nha van ton tai nhung co the da suy giam khoang 5-10%. Dieu nay co nghia la:



Cac doi khach co co hoi tot hon de gianh diem.



Cac keo khach va keo hoa co the co gia tri cao hon.



Nguoi choi can cap nhat du lieu va dieu chinh chien luoc cho phu hop.



Hay tiep tuc theo doi xu huong va dieu chinh phan tich cua ban. Loi the san nha van la mot yeu to quan trong, nhung cach chung ta danh gia no can thay doi theo thoi gian.





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